illusions of investing

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  • Why Past Performance Means Nothing

    The Myth of “Track Record Investing” Among even the most hallowed asset management firms, prior success can be attributed not to a series of calculated, informed actions or unique insights but rather the good fortune of being in the right place at the right time–something also known as random luck.  One of the most attractive illusions of investing involves judging…

  • BLOG: The “Market Timing” Myth

    Part III of the “The Illusions of Investing” series with Paul and myself addresses one of the most widespread illusions held by investors, that of credible “market timing”, by which an individual or group can confidently schedule investing decisions for a guaranteed profit or, in effect, “predict” whether or not the market will go up or down at a particular…